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Germany Hits Brakes on Race to Renewable Energy Future

Power Engineering -- Many scoffed at the initial target that Chancellor Angela Merkel set last June, when she announced that Germany was turning away from nuclear power and toward renewable energies. Her government decided that by 2020 renewables would make up a 35 percent share of the energy mix. It was, said many experts at the time, an impossible goal.

In the 14 months since then, however, the situation has changed dramatically. In the first half of 2012, the country generated fully 25 percent of its electricity needs via wind, solar and other alternative power sources. Doubts as to whether the 35 percent target is attainable have virtually vanished.

Now a new set of problems have cropped up, and quickly. The fast pace into the renewables future has meant that German consumers are faced with skyrocketing


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Submitted Aug 29, 2012 By: angel4me
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MAC48
Champion Author Dallas

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 9:53:58 PM

Still think that the correct sensible energy policy is to utilize all of the possible sources of energy and let the free market sort out the winners without any governmental interference or assistance to any one type of energy that all of the other type of energy do not also receive. While we are utilizing the winners as determined by the free market, we will need to continue basic R&D into the development of the losing sources of energy for the day that the winning sources of energy become prohibitively expensive to use or can no longer support our energy needs. This policy should not have any direct subsidies to any energy source once that energy technology is in the commercial production phase that is not also provided in kind to all of the other energy sources in the commercial production phase.
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LetemEatCake
Champion Author Oklahoma City

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 8:53:24 PM


Interesting article Angel4me, thanks for posting!
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rbrk02
Champion Author Rhode Island

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 6:23:34 PM

It seems that Germany is learning it's lesson the hard way. Hopefully, the US will learn from Germany's error so we do not repeat it.
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carranco
Champion Author Georgia

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 2:29:10 PM

The consequences of rushing to alternatives. We are blessed with plenty of coal, oil and gas. We don't need to make these mistakes.
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leemun
Champion Author Utah

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 8:53:25 AM

Not to mention supplementing the German grid with oil-generated power imported from Austria. This is what happens when you jump for a fad without thinking through the consequences. This could bring down the conservatives in Germany, which are really the only rational political group in the EU.
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puinsai808
Champion Author Honolulu

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 7:41:27 AM

ok
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fuel2use
Champion Author Seattle

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 7:14:40 AM

Good to look at and learn.
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VomVom
Champion Author Calgary

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 6:29:27 AM

Lessons learned anyone?

This dogmatic approach (both Merkel's and Obama's) to renewable energy; to go green for the sake of going green under the current difficult world economic situation is ill advised and down right irresponsible.
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orphancarguyPE
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 6:04:43 AM

In the rush to replace oil, lots of mistakes were made, especially of the 'paying too much for power at fixed rates' sort everywhere. It kick-started industries, but now is the time--now that the facilities are there and running- to scale pack the premium prices paid. It will take longer for the equipment to be amortized, is all.

Germany and other places had too much success with alternatives, and now after a sudden overly large meal, have to digest it. It doesn't mean that renewables don't work, and work well, its just now that they are built, the model has to go from incentives for quick-build to a sustainable framework of pricing for steady state production. That renewables everywhere were so successful caught all the long range planners by surprise.

In Germany's case, filling in some gaps such as some natural gas plants would be a priority. Its a tough choice for the Germans, because essentially all their natural gas is imported too, like their oil. Thinking about building hydrogen production using excess electricity from wind turbines, and burning it in power plants when demand is higher than wind is another slightly longer term solution.

To give a smaller scale answer to what Germany and other places could do to improve the situation, look no further than here--little Prince Edward Island.

Like Germany, which at least has coal, we have really no power resources (not even coal) other than wind, and solar in all its forms, both electricity and heating. All our grid power was imported....and we have a real problem as we are running out of undersea cable capacity to import more. We could install another cable, but that is truly hellishly expensive. We still have an oil-fired power plant, but those days are 40 years over, and now it is just for "real emergency" backup power as it costs too much to run regularly. We now get 30% of our electricity from wind turbines spread out across the entire province, so where there is calm, it might be windy elsewhere and it balances out.

We had some incentives to build them, but the ongoing production was not really subsidized. The provincial government built some directly and sold power to the private utility. The second city (and many other smaller municipalities too) put up their own turbines, largely to cut their electric purchasing costs for running streetlights, water pumping and sewage treatment, and also municipal rinks and other amenities. Summerside has its own municipal power utility, and went into it in a big way, and now gets between 25% and 100% of the electricity needed to supply itself and their customers from turbines. Its very lucrative for them: a $30 million investment = $18 million in income = $1 million in return on investment/profit every year. 3.33% ROI is nothing to sneeze at...and this is all from market, not subsidized, electricity rates. Other wind farms are private corps--we believe in a mix of development here. After an initial burst of building, subsequent developments have been tightly controlled so that supply doesn't overrun handling capacity improvements. Putting up turbines is a lot faster than renewing and re-arranging the grid infrastructure.

If I put a small windmill (and many people have here, from the 400w to 2.5 kw range for individual homes and farms) I would either use it myself as a parallel system to the utility with inverters and backup batteries etc, OR sell it to the utility completely and buy back electricity from the utility for actual use, on the two electric meter system. The rate both ways is the same--no subsidies or higher feed-in tariffs here. Sure, it takes somewhat longer to make back your investment, but the model is financially sound and self perpetuating AT MARKET RATES for electricity. With our power being imported, both wind turbines and (now lower cost) solar PV are viable, cost wise, over time.

We are experiencing some current small problems in integrating all of it onto our grid, partly because we have some excess located where we don't really need or can use it, and people have been adopting small wind turbines and some solar PV on their own faster than was expected. Adjustments, rather than huge changes needed. Before, we had worries of not getting enough power INTO the province, and now we have more at times than we need and it would be nice to be able to export it, but our main trunk cables on/off Island are one way only at present. Again, huge $$$$ to build an export cable. The province has been exploring (and building) demonstration facilities to turn excess electricity into hydrogen to store and use later in a 'hydrogen village' concept but it is a long term solution and we have a short term problem. New windfarms are tightly controlled as to size and location so that we don't overwhelm the grid.

Whenever you build fast, you have to step back and re-assess the goals regularly to avoid the problems that Germany and Ontario are now experiencing. It can be done...
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sljbc475
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 5:46:24 AM

Time for new leadership this election.
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car253
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 5:07:25 AM

Skyrocketing prices coming fast to America under Obama.
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doeslayersr
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 4:50:39 AM

Reality has set in.
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58salty
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 3:08:11 AM

OK
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Buddy2264
Champion Author Tampa

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 1:59:27 AM

Interesting but shows it can be done and without nuclear, for now.
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TXryder
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 1:28:31 AM

ok
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lgwhitlock
Champion Author Chico

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:24:29 AM

Sounds like leaping before they looked. There are always consequences of change and usually that is increased costs...
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DblChek
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:20:45 AM

SkooterG, spot on.
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LVNV6ofSpades
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:15:46 AM

not surprising
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VDubBill
Champion Author Jacksonville

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:15:43 AM

"The fast pace into the renewables future has meant that German consumers are faced with skyrocketing electricity bills and that the country's energy grid has suddenly become outdated."

In other words, you can be green and have all the wind and solar you want, as long as you are not afraid to throw all kinds of money at the projects.
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divebomber
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:15:34 AM

THE FUTURE IS HYDROGEN!
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DrivingFool2
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:15:31 AM

okay
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SkooterG
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:15:01 AM

What an interesting fiasco. I see government and energy policy is just as incompetent over there as over here, and politics and energy don't make good bed fellows over there as much as they don't over here.
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findcheap
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:12:32 AM

take it easy
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runner74
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:11:49 AM

ok
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truckpdlr
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:11:47 AM

$$$$$$$$$$$$$
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MDTDriver
Champion Author California

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:10:20 AM

Maybe they have a good idea?
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steve621
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:08:31 AM

ok
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OaklandInvaders
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:08:15 AM

ha ha LOL
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Gasazhunter
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:07:29 AM

Ok.
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Bubba44612
Champion Author Ohio

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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:04:48 AM

It's always the consumer that pays for all this crap in the long run. So when will we get a break?
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ddgb40
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:03:57 AM

????
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heydano67
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Message Posted: Aug 29, 2012 12:00:23 AM

one step ahead
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Matt G
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:54:58 PM

Ok
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spud5559
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:54:29 PM

too bad
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furiousfowl
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:54:13 PM

interesting
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Samo1961
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:54:11 PM

WOW..........
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PetroScopper
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:49:58 PM

Every country is facing a few issues right now... Germany is only one of many.
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Red7002011
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:47:53 PM

Really!
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sprocketsplines
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:47:48 PM

Much of the renewable is based on technology that hasn't been proven in a large scale implementation. So it is not surprising that the implementation costs are now being given a second thought.
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rjoeh
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:47:13 PM

The bottom line here is simple... while we save some resources on one hand... are we willing to spend more to have it that way?
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gasmack
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:45:59 PM

Interesting. Gives us something to think about in our development efforts.
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HawaiianGuy
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:40:26 PM

It's going to get harder and harder to meet this goal because they've already picked the "low-hanging fruit".
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tco9436
Champion Author Connecticut

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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:33:54 PM

Oh boy! Thought this was the future!
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Z51Corvette
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:32:28 PM

Surprise German people... you've been sold a bill of goods... how does the Kool Aid taste...

headed here, if the liberals stay in power.
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Z51Corvette
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:31:02 PM

whoopie... nice comment, what does that mean...
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jcdakota
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:30:59 PM

Typical governmental policy jump in then try to find a boat.
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suicyco16
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:28:37 PM

whoopee
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fishgaro
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:27:20 PM

they forgot the rule "if it sounds too good to be real, chances are it isn't real". jumped in without thinking..
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Melinda205
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:26:10 PM

Hmmm
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abacus44
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Message Posted: Aug 28, 2012 11:26:07 PM

That's what happens when governments set arbitrary standards and deadlines.
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